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Straight Red Cards
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Allan (Memphis) - Sunday 03-04-07 15:28
Someone (Steve?) made an observation at one point that its rare to have any straight red cards. That's because the chances are so low that its virtually impossible to get booked and determine if its a red in the same minute. Here's how it works:

A passive player has a 4 in 10,000 chance of being booked in a given minute. If he's booked then its a 2 in 10,000 chance (by rule) that he is sent off 'there and then'. So really its a red card.

However, that chance is just so low that it doesn't happen (two very rare low numbers drawn consecutively).

Here's my question...

What are the 'real life' numbers of:

1) Single yellow cards

2) Second yellow cards (effectively a red card)

3) Straight red cards

I guess #2 is where its important to know if that 2nd yellow is counted as a yellow or just a red in whatever data source you may know of.

Okay, so there's your homework. :-)

Seriously...let me know if you can find anything on this or even just want to hazard a guess...such as...for every 10 single yellow cards there's 1 straight red.

Paul (Bristol) - Sunday 03-04-07 17:58
Unfortunately, it's #2 that's difficult to find stats for (at least from my early trawls). I found some stats for English Premiership referees for 2006-7. These show average yellow cards and red cards per game, but unfortunately not how many were straight red, and how many second yellow.

For what they're worth:

Referee Appearances Bookings Sent Off Bookings Per Game Sent Off Per Game
Mike Riley 15 55 3 3.67 0.2
Uriah Rennie 13 52 0 4 0
M Clattenburg 19 76 0 4 0
M Dean 19 62 3 3.26 0.16
G Poll 21 67 1 3.19 0.05
R Styles 20 56 3 2.8 0.15
S Bennett 21 60 2 2.86 0.1
H Webb 21 59 2 2.81 0.1
Alan Wiley 21 61 0 2.9 0
Lee Mason 7 16 1 2.29 0.14
M Atkinson 15 37 1 2.47 0.07
M Halsey 15 31 3 2.07 0.2
C Foy 15 33 2 2.2 0.13
P Dowd 16 36 1 2.25 0.06
D J Gallagher 9 19 1 2.11 0.11
A Marriner 6 14 0 2.33 0
P Walton 10 19 0 1.9 0
Lee Probert 2 2 0 1 0
Averages: 2.67 0.08
Tim (Zaragoza) - Thursday 03-08-07 14:34

Sending off seems to happen roughly 1 in 10 matches, comparing what Oli & Paul have come up with. If half of those are second yellow and half are straight red, then a straight red occurs roughly 1 in 20 matches. In MSWL terms that would be roughly 1 red card every two rounds. I could live with that.

Yoav (Stockholm) - Thursday 03-08-07 16:03
Getting a referee to show a straight red card usually takes a "special event". Most likely an unsportive behaviour such as punching or kicking someone whom is not handling the ball.
I think that getting a 2nd yellow card is a more frequent occurrence.

In any case, why should a passive player get sent off?

Tim (Zaragoza) - Friday 03-09-07 15:22

From some of the calls I've seen, a player can get sent off who wasn't involved in any way, so merely being passive will be nothing at all. :-)

Phil (Missouri) - Friday 03-09-07 23:01
One reason that you don't see too many straight red cards is because the cards probably get a little crumply being in the officials pocket for most of the match. Just thinking out loud...
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